Equality California has been holding a series of meetings and online sessions to involve LGBT people and their friends in the question of whether to try to repeal the gay marriage ban, Prop. 8, by a ballot measure in 2012. (Unless it gets thrown out in the courts, it has to be repealed by a popular vote because it was put in by vote in 2008.) They shared polling which shows some, but not much, movement. Older people still don't approve -- but more of them are less sure about that. Opposition to our rights still correlates with frequency of church attendance. Young people still overwhelmingly support marriage equality. There's some hope that adding an explicit element to the measure reiterating that religious organizations would not be required to perform gay marriages would help. But there's still no overwhelmingly clarity about the path forward.
For 2010, I was vehemently opposed to going back to the ballot; the issue had not ripened and we weren't ready. This time around, I'm less sure. California is unlikely to be an electoral battleground -- we'll vote for Obama even if most of the country won't, as I think likely. That means we won't necessarily have an enlarged or aroused electorate. Winning the campaign would be hard and costly. Can the community afford it? And winning looks like no sure thing, though possible. I remain agnostic. Organizationally, a ballot campaign should decide by this fall whether it's a go.
If you have views, follow the link to Equality California and take their "Back to the Ballot" survey.