Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Not clear on the concept @occupy


According to Steve Clemons, that semi-embalmed fossil John McCain told an audience of international imperial warlords and spooks in Halifax that

"this Arab Spring is a virus that will attack Moscow and Beijing."

Hmmm -- I wonder if any of them have noticed that the same democratic outpouring is breaking free in locations from Boston to Oakland to Los Angeles to Austin to Miami and beyond. Who knows, the virus of liberation might one day even infect Washington as readily as Moscow or Beijing? Maybe even more readily ...

Monday, November 21, 2011

A little life-saving would be something to be thankful for

Providing security
U.S. Army Spc. Lester Aldana, Kandahar Provincial Reconstruction Team security force provides security during a dismounted patrol in Sub-District 10 of Kandahar City Nov. 16. ISAF Media Flickr

At a moment when all progressive eyes are fixed on Occupy protests and police brutality at home and Egyptian citizens' renewed demands for greater democracy abroad, it's hard to find attention for yet another fight in the U.S. Congress about our war in Afghanistan, but we should. As Robert Naiman explains:

If Senator Jeff Merkley's "expedite the drawdown from Afghanistan" amendment to the National Defense Authorization Act makes a strong showing, that could tip the Obama administration towards a faster drawdown.

That would likely save hundreds of American and Afghan lives -- not to mention all the people who wouldn't be physically and psychologically maimed -- and could easily save the U.S. hundreds of billions of dollars, at a time when the alleged need for fiscal austerity is being touted as a reason to cut Social Security benefits and raise the Medicare retirement age.

HuffPo

He thoughtfully provides a list of Senators who could make a difference by voting for this thing. If one of these is your Congresscritter, a holler to their office might help.

Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT)
Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO)
Sen. Jeff Bingaman (D-NM)
Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA)
Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
Sen. Ben Cardin (D-MD)
Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND)
Sen. Al Franken (D-MN)
Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)
Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA)
Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ)
Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT)
Sen. Robert Menendez (D-NJ)
Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA)
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)
Sen. Charles E. Schumer (D-NY)
Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)
Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI)
Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR)

On owning a contemporary car

If, like me, you hold on to a car for ten years and only replace it when various parts begin to fall off, the accoutrements and amenities in new models are something of a shock.

The last one, acquired new in 1999, introduced me to the cup holder, an invaluable feature of modern American life.

This one, a 2011 model, tells me when she wants maintenance.
talkative-modern-car.jpg

Presumably the next one, if there ever is such a thing, will drive itself.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Still going, one step outside her comfort zone


This horrible picture is from the aftermath of a police charge on a group of Occupiers in Seattle on November 15. Law enforcement is being awfully liberal with pepper spray these days.


Here Dorli Rainey tells the story her own way. This is all over the web, but if you haven't watched it, it is totally worth your time. (I grabbed it from Ronni Bennett.)
***
Now to a doctor to try to get some relief from this awful cold that has felled me.

Saturday, November 19, 2011

Yes, you can train a cat!


Feline agility events began about a decade ago when two couples who met on the cat show circuit went out to dinner and started talking about the tricks their cats did. They modified some dog agility obstacles and showed them to their cats; from there, a group called the International Cat Agility Tournaments — or ICAT — was born.

“When we first started it, everybody said, ‘Train a cat? Impossible!’ ” said Shirley Piper, left, one of the four founding members. She and her partner, Kathy Krysta, right, live in Riverside, Calif., with their 20 cats, which they train regularly.

The New York Times offers a photo slide show on serous cat training. Go take a look at the whole thing.
***
I'm fighting a rhinovirus today. Nothing deeper than this will come from me.

Friday, November 18, 2011

An end to the internet as we have known it?

Those of us for whom using the Net is a staple of our work and our lives need to be aware that, like previous "revolutionary" citizen-participation technological innovations such as radio, there are forces that want to shut us down.

The owners of intellectual property want to get paid for their products. They are threatened by the creative use we make of their artifacts on blogs, on YouTube, via Twitter and will make in environments only imagined today. Note I said "the owners" -- those complaining about our vigorous free use are less the creative artists whose products we share and build upon, more the corporations who buy the artists' work and want to control reselling it to the rest of us. (There's that 1% problem again …)

Rebecca MacKinnon, in an oped article in the New York Times, explains how the proposed "Stop Online Piracy Act" would be as dangerous to free speech in the United States as is China's Great Internet Firewall.

The House bill would also emulate China’s system of corporate “self-discipline,” making companies liable for users’ actions. The burden would be on the Web site operator to prove that the site was not being used for copyright infringement. The effect on user-generated sites like YouTube would be chilling.

YouTube, Twitter and Facebook have played an important role in political movements from Tahrir Square to Zuccotti Park. At present, social networking services are protected by a “safe harbor” provision of the Digital Millennium Copyright Act, which grants Web sites immunity from prosecution as long as they act in good faith to take down infringing content as soon as rights-holders point it out to them. The House bill would destroy that immunity, putting the onus on YouTube to vet videos in advance or risk legal action. It would put Twitter in a similar position to that of its Chinese cousin, Weibo, which reportedly employs around 1,000 people to monitor and censor user content and keep the company in good standing with authorities.

Compliance with the Stop Online Piracy Act would require huge overhead spending by Internet companies for staff and technologies dedicated to monitoring users and censoring any infringing material from being posted or transmitted. This in turn would create daunting financial burdens and legal risks for start-up companies, making it much harder for brilliant young entrepreneurs with limited resources to create small and innovative Internet companies that empower citizens and change the world.

Creators need to be paid for their creations, but our society needs robust free speech. The money barons are closing in and we know they do own Congress …
***

Meanwhile, there are other threats to our use of the internet that may be even more serious. In the guise of helping us find the results we want or would like, based on our past internet behavior, search engines and web sites are tailoring what we see when we visit them. Think about it: my Google search results for any particular term do not look like yours; the same goes for the suggested articles the New York Times offers me: you get different ones. In many ways, the personalized commercial internet will be more constraining than a government-censored one.

Eli Pariser calls this living in "The Filter Bubble." He explains clearly in less than 10 minutes here.

The internet is showing us what we want to see, not what we need to see. … you don't decide what gets in … and you don't decide what gets left out. … We're seeing a passing of the torch from human gate keepers to algorithmic ones. … We need to make sure these algorithms have encoded within them a sense of civic responsibility … we need [the authors of these filter rules] to give us some control so we can decide what gets through and what doesn't.

You can also read Pariser's The Filter Bubble for more. Hint: I found it in an old fashioned information channel -- the public library. Recommended.
***

This seems an appropriate place to serve notice that Facebook has announced that as of November 22 it will no longer allow import of blog posts.

"You currently automatically import content from your website or blog into your Facebook notes. Starting November 22nd, this feature will no longer be available, although you'll still be able to write individual notes."

Apparently they want me to have to visit their useless site daily. Ferget it … I had friends before Facebook and expect to have them after.

Thursday, November 17, 2011

No more jobs for Filipino nurses?

St. Luke's Hospital in San Francisco's Mission District is an anomaly, a small, community oriented institution that serves low income and charity patients. It's by no means an ornament of modern medical practice; it certainly doesn't enhance science or generate high incomes for anyone. It just takes care of sick people. The stumbling non-profit was taken over from the Episcopal Diocese of California by the medical mega-corporation Sutter Health (doing business in San Francisco as California Pacific Medical Center) in 2001 as part of an antitrust settlement; the giant corporation promised to provide some community benefits and keep the hospital open.

Community advocates, doctors and nurses have charged ever since that, in a series of phases, Sutter-CPMC has been bleeding St. Luke's to death. If they succeed in killing it, the city will be left with only one hospital in its southern, browner, and poorer sections -- and that will be the under-funded, overwhelmed country hospital, San Francisco General. CPMC will operate 4 of the 10 hospitals in the richer, whiter northern section. Talk about economic segregation of health care … More details here.

Now Catherine Traywick at Spot.us offers a thorough account of one element of CPMC's kill-St.-Luke's-with-a-thousand-cuts strategy: they have apparently sought to end hiring of Filipino nurses.

The story is inflammatory. For decades hospitals have recruited immigrant Filipino nurses; these well-trained English speakers were thought to be willing to work harder and longer than natives while less likely to agitate for better wages and working conditions because of their non-citizen status.

“Hospitals wanted to change the pay model so they hired professionals from the Third World to basically break unions,” said Peter Chua, professor of sociology at San Jose State University and author of Ating Kalagayan: The Social and Economic Profile of U.S. Filipinos. “Initially, there was an assumption that if you recruit them, they’ll be subservient,” Chua said. “Their contracts are set, so why would they join unions?”

Of course these nurses gradually became rooted in their new country, birthed citizen children and become natives themselves. However as more nurses of all ethnicities have seen the benefits of labor organizations, especially in Northern California some Filipino nurses have become militant labor activists and the hospitals find they confront an awakened work force. They don't like it.

And so, apparently at least some CPMC administrators have jumped from stereotypically thinking of their Filipino and Philippine-origin employees as subservient and passive to finding them aggressive and dangerous. At St. Luke's, Traywick reports employee accounts of management's directives:

[U.S.-born Filipina nurse Jane] Sandoval first caught wind of a hiring ban in the spring of 2008. Two of her supervisors, Ronald Rivera and Ron Villanueva (both Filipino Americans), told her that they had overheard CPMC’s vice president of nursing Diana Karner say something to the effect of: We should probably not hire anymore foreign graduate nurses, because it is hard to understand them and be understood by them. The supervisors allege that Karner was referring specifically to Filipinos, who composed the vast majority of St. Luke’s foreign-trained nurses.

The nail in the coffin, as far as Sandoval was concerned, was a later statement made by Chris Hanks, St. Luke’s director of critical care from 2008 to 2009. Hanks, who reported directly to Karner at the time, attested that she had told him: “The Filipinos are always related, or know each other, and that’s not good. You’re not to hire them.”

… Shortly afterwards, the rate of Filipino new hires dropped dramatically, according to employee rolls reviewed by [the nurse's union.] According to CPMC, Hanks was “later fired for misuse of funds.”

CPMC, for its part, maintains that no ban ever existed and, while the company denies that Karner made the alleged statements, it concedes that, if she engaged in a conversation about foreign-trained nurses, it was in only light of “certain patient complaints (about) the nurse’s ability to effectively communicate,” according to a public statement released by the company. The statement further acknowledges “there has been a preference at St. Luke’s for bi-lingual (Spanish-speaking) nurses.”

“The hospital is in the Mission. The patient population is 60 percent Latino. Our nurses at St. Luke’s are 66 percent Asian,” said Kevin McCormack, CPMC’s media relations manager. “We need to make sure that we have nurses who can not only be linguistically sensitive to the patients but also culturally sensitive.”

This particular justification of an incident that, according to CPMC, never even took place, riled Sandoval. Along with many Filipino nurses at the hospital, she doesn’t speak Tagalog, doesn’t have a foreign accent and — like most brown-skinned Filipinos with typically Spanish surnames — is mistaken for Latino often enough. “I grew up in the Mission District, near St. Luke’s, so I know what this community is made of. If the managers would work side by side with us for 10 minutes, they would see there is no cultural divide,” Sandoval said. In essence: Filipino nurses and their Latino patients have more in common than a shared history of Spanish colonization.

Having been caught out encouraging racial discrimination in hiring, CPMC then compounded its descent into community infamy by trying to patronize the Filipino community. The CEO thought blogging about his delight in Filipino food might help. This led to outrage in the community.

The post sparked an intense ire in the Filipino American community. The San Francisco-based Filipino Community Center (FCC) released a statement calling Browner’s comments voyeuristic, an insult to injury and ultimately irrelevant.

“It’s like saying, ‘I can’t be racist, because some of my best friends are black,’ ” said Raquel Redondiez, vice chair of the Filipina advocacy group Gabriela USA. “It demonstrated how unsophisticated their understanding is of power dynamics, of race — even dynamics within a corporate organization.”
Browner subsequently removed the post, but the damage was done.


no discrimination-filipino nurses-st lukes.jpg
Signs on the walls of FCC.

Sutter-CPMC remains locked in struggle with the nurses' union (California Nurses Association) and the Mission community about the future of St. Luke's. Traywick's article is an important contribution to the story and worth a full read.

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Warming Wednesdays: even election campaigns getting greener

I've been working on a couple of elections these day and noticed a new development. Campaigns still kill vast numbers of tree, between petitions to get people and measures on the ballot, lit pieces to sell their points of view, and repeated printings of voter lists.

But one practice has changed.


This is more or less what precinct worker kits -- the voter lists and literature we send out with campaign workers to take door to door -- used to look like. Endless plastic bags were assembled for this purpose.


This is much more what we see these days. Well-financed campaigns provide fancy bags with campaign logos. Less affluent campaigns find clothe bags where they can. But find them they do.

Despite every other legitimate concern, we cannot ignore that our economic and social system is rapidly making the planet less habitable. So I will be posting "Warming Wednesdays" -- unpleasant reminders of an inconvenient truth.

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

View out my window

UNITE-HERE-picket.jpg
I'm working in a new downtown office, across from the Hyatt Regency. The hotel's workers picket at lunch outside my window. They make choosing this boycotted property a noisy experience. You can read more about the labor dispute here.

The Occupy San Francisco encampment is just barely out of sight of my window. The hotel workers' union announced its support of the movement of the 99% last week.

Who'd have thought working in the financial district would have exposed me to such interesting neighbors?

Why Occupy Wall Street?


As Mayor Bloomberg's cops evict the New York encampment and people try to march back (above via Twitter), here's Paul Krugman catching the movement's meaning in a couple of simple paragraphs. In contrast to the postwar era in Britain when hardships were shared by a grateful population that had just won a war for its survival:

... austerity is being imposed because men in suits say that it’s necessary to satisfy the invisible gods of the financial market. It’s understandable that the public is beginning to have its doubts, and not just because those invisible gods somehow demand sacrifices only from workers, never from the wealthy. For the fact is that those men in suits have no idea what they’re doing ...

... if you want to contrast the stoicism of the postwar populace with the anger and confusion of today’s voters, don’t blame consumerism; blame our leaders, who have imposed gratuitous, unfair pain on their constituents, who are finally starting to figure it out.

When we keep marching, sometimes our leaders figure out they have to run to catch up ...

Monday, November 14, 2011

Occupy Oakland encampment swept away by police


The plaza in front of City Hall has been cleared.

I can only look at this and think "it was bound to happen." Unfortunately, when the authorities decide to try to suppress protest movements, they almost always to use violence as multiple local police agencies did with tear gas and "non-lethal" weapons in Oakland on October 26. It becomes very hard for protesters under attack to keep the focus on their real issues -- the fact that 99 percent of us are losing our democracy and our livelihoods to enrich the one percent. Instead people become trapped in screaming matches about police and local government misbehavior. At the same time, folks on the edge of the protests -- often testosterone poisoned young males -- feel licensed by police brutality to break with whatever non-violent discipline the majority of protesters want.

Meanwhile, in this out-of-kilter society, there are always people with multiple unmet needs, who will see any encampment as at least a temporary refuge. As we move into winter, the Occupys are taking in their share and more of these folks.

And then we get to what's happening in Oakland. Jan Gilbrecht has written a very insightful reflection on Occupy Oakland which anyone who wishes the movement well would be served by reading in its entirety. Here are some excerpts:

Anyone who has had regular contact with the Oakland Occupation can see that it has changed. What started out as a political effort to dramatize the failure of our current system to address the needs of the vast majority of Americans has become a temporary community dominated by the long-term homeless. As someone who is proud to have been part of the group that built the needle exchange program in Oakland in the 1990s through direct action against an illegitimate law and through effective service to the people, I spent quite a bit of time interacting with this multi-racial, diverse and sizeable segment of our community, who usually remain dispersed and invisible to the suits who frequent City Hall. This small sub-set of the 99% are an important group whose complex needs deserve to be recognized and addressed. But the truth is that very few of these needs are being met at the current encampment, and just trying to do that consumes the efforts of many and threatens to become the focus of the movement.

(These needs won’t be met in “liberated” squats either, and I doubt that the almost exclusively white, almost exclusively young, almost exclusively male people who I’ve seen advocate this would like to share space with the folks I’m referring to).

It is and has been true for too long that the City government has neglected this very vulnerable and oppressed part of our family. But I don’t hear a single voice right now raised to address some of the core things that the City Council could do to help these folks, plenty of whom would rather be in no-threshold supportive housing which would allow them the dignity of a home even as they struggle with mental illness and drug and alcohol use, the single greatest reasons that homeless people refuse available services.

I think it would be great to hear some voices raised to address the needs of that portion of the encampment who really would rather decamp elsewhere but lack the options. In the meantime, we all continue to talk around the elephant in the middle of the plaza. We get tied down in distractions, and make the dividing line about support/opposition to what is becoming an increasingly indefensible situation. And the movement dissipates.

… Nobody asked me, but I’m not sure that Oscar Grant Plaza was the best place to set up shop for OO in the first place. As opposed to the clear and cogent symbolism of the OWS location, it presumes/implies that City government is/should be the main target, and low and behold, the only thing that seems to have come of it is a completely unfocused crisis among really pretty much powerless petty politicians. (And a reminder, for those of us who needed it, that the OPD and Alameda Sheriffs are cabals of armed thugs.) ...

I think that it is time to change the subject away from the artificial and distracting crisis that is playing out downtown like some bad reality TV show. I think we need to empower and ignite the imagination of the 99% by inviting people to form affinity groups with the purpose of identifying needs created by or unaddressed by our current failed system, putting together a plan to address them in a real or symbolic way, putting it in a proposal and taking it to the GA for basic endorsement and assistance with securing the means necessary to achieve it, by occupation of appropriate targets as necessary. ...

For example, perhaps an affinity group of unemployed teachers and parents may come to the GA with a proposal to form an experimental participatory free school to address the needs of drop out high school students, with some outline of a plan to hold it and sustain it or to force the school district to eventually adopt it, etc. ...

There's serious social thought going on in and around these encampments. Let's grow a movement of the 99 percent around them!

Sunday, November 13, 2011

Noted on my morning run

Love people.JPG
Plodding through my gritty urban neighborhood, this caught my eye.

I have to admit, I mentally inserted a semicolon in the middle of the second phrase, as feeling more true to the ironic spirit of the 'hood.

Have I perhaps been working too hard?

Saturday, November 12, 2011

Saturday scenes and scenery: watching eyes

watching eyes.jpg
I ride back and forth to work staring at this poster in the BART subway car.

Those of us who were around long before 9/11 retain a sense of strangeness about such warnings. I imagine that those who come after will come to accept (and ignore) them -- just part of the landscape, like weather.

The first posters I saw in daily life that carried this sort of warnings were in South Africa at the end of the apartheid regime. In 1990, Nelson Mandela had been released from prison, but democratic, one-person-one-vote, non-racial elections were still three years off. Violence between the black majority and disgruntled whites was still in the air. In every shopping mall and post office there were posters displaying images of deadly mines -- "watch out for this!" I hunted the internet for a picture of these posters, but couldn't find one. Somewhere I have a slide. It might be a service to the historical record to upload such an image. That's how South Africans lived then.

This is how we live now, facing a different sort of possible violence (or not). At least the subway poster has pretty good aesthetics; it's a copy of something that appears on the London Underground. Londoners can have no doubt that this is not just theater served up by a government that wants to keep them afraid. The feared has happened.

Here -- it hasn't. I don't feel particularly afraid of an explosion on mass transit in the Bay Area. We face more immediately believable hazards. BART police very publicly shoot people; there could be a large earthquake anytime.

I don't watch much; I just endure my ride.

Friday, November 11, 2011

From the war to end war to today ...

Once upon a time, what we call Veterans Day was "Armistice Day" marking the moment at the "eleventh hour of the eleventh day of the eleventh month" of 1918 when the guns of World War I fell silent in Europe. That unimaginably horrible carnage had stopped, though the respite proved simply the beginning of a 20 year pause, following by another worldwide bloodbath in 1939.

This seems a good day to share some insights from one of the books I've been reading about World War I in the course of my project of exploring that conflict's residue in our current world. Margaret MacMillan's Paris 1919: six months that changed the world offers a full global survey of the victors' choices in the various treaties and agreements that followed. It is comprehensive, thoughtful and sometimes delightfully snarky about the statesmen who momentarily believed they could construct a new world order.

The Paris Peace Conference in winter of 1919 stirred ambitions and imaginings on an unprecedented scale.

… until the signing of the German treaty in June at Versailles, Paris housed a virtual world government. ... Paris may have housed a world government, but that government's power was never as great as most people, both then and since, have assumed. ... The peacemakers talked expansively about making and unmaking nations, but the clay was not as malleable and the strength to mold it not as great as they liked to think. Of course, the peacemakers had considerable power. They still had armies and navies. They had the weapon of food if they chose to use it against a starving Europe. They could exert influence by threats and promises, to grant or withhold recognition, for example. They could get out the maps and move borders this way or that, and most of the time their decisions would be accepted ... [but] the ability of the international government in Paris to control events was limited by such factors as distance, usable transportation and available forces -- and by the unwillingness of the Great Powers to expend their resources.

In 1919 the limits were not yet clear -- to the peacemakers themselves, or to the world. Consequently, many people believed that, if only they could catch the attention of the Supreme Council, past wrongs would be righted and their futures assured. A young kitchen assistant at the Ritz sent in a petition asking for independence from France for his little country. Ho Chi Minh - and Vietnam -- were too obscure even to receive an answer. A Korean graduate of Princeton University tried to get to Paris but was refused a passport. After the Second World War, Syngman Rhee became the president of a newly independent South Korea. …

That quotation catches what I found the most fascinating aspect of this enormous world survey: the extent to which this European conclave reached into, not only the home continent and the powers' former colonies plus the Middle East where the boundaries it set are still contested, but also into the farthest reaches of Asia.

Japan was an ally of the victors. Having shown in 1905 that it could defeat a Russian army, it was acknowledged as a true power, the only non-white one in the world. The Japanese had viewed the European combat as a opportunity for cheap gains from the winner, if only they could pick the right warring coalition. They were willing to flirt with the German/Austro-Hungarian/Ottoman bloc; hence the story of Zimmerman telegram. But eventually they threw down with the British/French/American allies.

Japan came to Paris with two objectives. First, it wanted to come away with control of the former German commercial sphere of influence in China at Shantung. The Chinese republic hoped for an end to these foreign enclaves, but the Japanese had forces on the ground and won its point at the peace conference. Japan also held on to naval stations in the Pacific Ocean, presaging future conflict with the United States.

If Japan's colonial demands represented its aggressive and militarist side, its other priority at Paris represented a different development path that was ignored and blocked by the united West. Japan was the principle champion of what was called the "racial equality" clause proposed for the founding declaration of the new League of Nations that the peace conference was creating. The story is telling.

In the years before the war, Japanese businessmen complained that they were frequently humiliated when they traveled abroad. In California, Japanese nationals just lost the right to buy land, then the right to lease it, and finally the right to bring their wives to join them. In 1906 the San Francisco School Board voted to send Chinese and Japanese children (of whom there were fewer than a hundred in total) to segregated classes lest they overwhelm the white children. Japanese (and Chinese and Indian) immigrants found it more and more difficult to get into Canada and the United States, and impossible to enter Australia. Even during the war, when Japan was fighting as an ally of the British empire, its nationals continued to be excluded. ...As Japan prepared to take its place at the Peace Conference, Japanese newspapers were full of exhortations. "Now is the time," said one editorial, "to fight against international racial discrimination."

...In the Commission on the League of Nations, Makino and Chinda discreetly let it be known that they were working on a clause that they would, in due course, bring forward. ... "The equality of nations being a basic principle of the League of Nations, the High Contracting Parties agree to accord, as soon as possible, to all alien nationals of States members of the League equal and just treatment in every respect, making no distinction, either in law or in fact, on account of their race or nationality."

...It was a moving and liberal statement, and it made absolutely no difference. [Lord Robert] Cecil, speaking for Britain, said that, alas, this was a highly controversial matter. It was already causing problems within the British empire delegation. He thought that it would be better to postpone the whole matter to a future date. There was a general murmur of agreement. Perhaps, [Eleutheiros] Venizelos [of Greece] suggested helpfully, they should drop the whole clause on religious liberty, since that was also a tricky subject. This brought a solitary objection from the Portuguese delegate, who said that his government had never yet signed a treaty that did not call on God. Cecil, in a rare moment of humor, replied that this time they would all have to take a chance. There was no mention of racial or religious equality in the draft which now went forward to a full meeting of the Peace Conference for discussion. ...

In 1919, all parties looked to U.S. President Woodrow Wilson to advance a moral world order. After all, he has staked out a role as the carrier of moral aims amid the horrors and corruption of the war. Those who hoped this might bring him on board with Japan's clause were to be disappointed.

... Wilson himself was not especially enlightened when it came to race. He was a Southerner, after all, and although he had appealed for black votes in his first campaign for the presidency, he had done little for blacks once in office and had refused to allow black combat troops to fight alongside white Americans in the war, preferring to place them under French command. ...

...The loudest opposition to the racial equality clause came from the British empire delegation, in particular from Billy Hughes [of Australia]. ... The Japanese thought Hughes "a peasant"; he complained that they had been "beslobbering me with genuflexions and obsequious deference."

... Wilson knew that any reference to racial equality would alienate key politicians on the West Coast, and he needed their votes to get the League through Congress. He urged the Japanese to withdraw their amendment. It was a mistake, he said, to make too much fuss about racial prejudice.

... The Japanese delegates insisted on a vote. When a majority voted for the amendment, Wilson, with the dexterity he had no doubt learned as a university president, announced that because there were strong objections to the amendment it could not carry. The Japanese chose not to challenge this dubious ruling and so the racial equality clause did not become part of the [League] covenant.

MacMillan wonders whether, had the powers of the world put themselves even nominally on the side of non-discrimination by race or religion, might twentieth century history evolved differently?
***
In the end, MacMillan's assessment of the work of the men at Paris is kinder than we might expect. The United States never joined the League of Nations its President had promoted. In the 1930s, fascist powers ran over every restraint that was intended to keep the peace. But MacMillan believes the better visions of Paris 1919 had a resonance that mattered.

Only a handful of eccentric historians still bother to study the League of Nations. Its archives, with their wealth of materials, are largely unvisited. Its very name evokes images of earnest bureaucrats, fuzzy liberal supporters, futile resolutions, unproductive fact-finding missions and, above all, failure: Manchuria in 1931, Ethiopia in 1935 and, most catastrophic of all, the outbreak of the Second World War a mere twenty years after the first one had ended. The dynamic leaders of the interwar years -- Mussolini, Hitler, the Japanese militarists -- sneered at the League and ultimately turned their backs on it. Its chief supporters -- Britain, France and the smaller democracies -- were lukewarm and flaccid. The Soviet Union joined only because Stalin could not, at the time, think of a better alternative. The United States never managed to join at all. So great was the taint of failure that when the powers contemplated a permanent association of nations during the Second World War, they decided to set up a completely new United Nations. The League was officially pronounced dead in 1946. It had ceased to count at all in 1939.

....The League did represent something very important: both a recognition of the changes that had already taken place in international relations and a bet placed on the future. Just as steam engines had changed the way people moved about the surface of the earth, just as nationalism and democracy had given them a different relationship to one another and to their governments, so the way states behaved toward one another had undergone a transformation in the century before the Peace Conference met. Of course power still counted, and of course governments looked out for their countries, but what that meant had changed. If the eighteenth century had made and unmade alliances, and fought and ended wars, for dynastic advantage, even matters of honor, if it was perfectly all right to take pieces of land without any regard for their inhabitants, the nineteenth century had moved toward a different view. War increasingly was seen as an aberration, and an expensive one at that. In the eighteenth century someone's gain was always someone's loss; the overall ledger remained balanced. Now war was a cost to all players, as the Great War proved.

My emphasis. Have we learned? I think to some extent we have and that it remains the job of arroused people to remind our rulers: No more wars!
***
World War I still matters far more than we realize when we think about the contours of the contemporary scene. Previous posts on this history appear here, here and here.

Thursday, November 10, 2011

I love being wrong!

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A few month ago I opined that President Obama couldn't be moved by environmental activists to stop the Keystone XL tar sands pipeline. Sure, he needed to shore up his base for the 2012 election. But I thought he'd treat people who cared about climate and pollution as in the bag, so frightened by any Republican that he could ignore them.

Evidently not so. Perhaps he got tired of having his campaign fundraising events dogged by protesters. Maybe he found it sleazy that the "environmental assessment" of the project was contracted out to a company with big contracts with the pipeline builder.

But for whatever reason, the administration has delayed a decision for more review. Bill McKibben, who has been leading the opposition via 350.org, believes we should take this as a victory.

The President deserves thanks for making this call -- it’s not easy in the face of the fossil fuel industry and its endless reserves of cash. The deepest thanks, however, go to you: to indigenous peoples who began the fight, to the folks in Nebraska who rallied so fiercely, to the scientists who explained the stakes, to the environmental groups who joined with passionate common purpose, to the campuses that lit up with activity, to the faith leaders that raised a moral cry, to the labor leaders who recognized where our economic future lies, to the Occupy movement that helped galvanize revulsion at insider dealing, and most of all to the people in every state and province who built the movement that made this decision inevitable.

Our fight, of course, is barely begun. Some in our movement will say that this decision is just politics as usual: that the President wants us off the streets -- and off his front lawn -- until after the election, at which point the administration can approve the pipeline, alienating its supporters without electoral consequence. The president should know that if this pipeline proposal somehow reemerges from the review process we will use every tool at our disposal to keep it from ever being built; if there’s a lesson of the last few months, both in our work and in the Occupy encampments around the world, it’s that sometimes we have to put our bodies on the line.

McKibben isn't joking about that. People aren't about to let this abomination be built.

A plea for commonsense local gun regulation


It would be easy to dismiss this little video as just more political propaganda, but it is extraordinarily heartfelt.

Mayor Cory Booker of Newark has devoted his tenure to the staggeringly difficult task of ending his city's too well-earned reputation as the homicide capital of gritty east coast cities. He has made progress. Now gun enthusiasts want to circumvent local regulations that prevent carrying concealed weapons by forcing cities to honor permits from other states. Booker begs for commonsense.

Take a look.

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

Education in progress at Cal Berkeley



Students tried to set up a tent encampment on campus Wednesday afternoon. The administration was having none of it.

Student tuition and fees have risen for six straight years. The university has plans for another 9 percent hike in the fall.

Student Lark Omura captured students' fury as she screamed at the crowd: "We just spent trillions of dollars on the war, and the politicians tell us we have no money for education! When they tell us there's no money, it's a lie!"

San Francisco Chronicle, November 9, 2011

Sure there's money. But the 99 percent don't get to have any of the benefit of it.

I have to admit the sight of police batons on Sproul Plaza takes me back -- it is no joke to get whacked while trying to speak out.

Photo by Tony Zhou of the Daily Cal.

Blogging must wait ...

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In the wake of four days getting out the vote for John Avalos for Mayor, I'm in the familiar condition of a campaign worker after the election: I feel like I've been run over by a truck.

We haven't won and most likely will not as the Byzantine process of counting the votes through San Francisco's ranked choice process goes on this week. It is very likely we won't know the end of this until Thursday afternoon or even later.

But the campaign was a signal "win" for progressive San Francisco:
  • Supervisor John Avalos made himself a solid, attractive candidate with a plausible progressive program including defense of city-provided health care for low income folks and a proposed city bank to wrench the town away from Wall Street's clutches;
  • Once again it has been shown that the city won't allow citywide candidates to run for office from the mushy middle. A gaggle of seemingly plausible candidates tried it (City Attorney Herrera, Supervisor Chiu, State Senator Yee, Public Defender Jeff Adachi). But despite our idiotic voting system that aims to prevent sharp definition of candidates, the electorate polarized between incumbent Ed Lee as the candidate of the monied interests and Supervisor Avalos from the left. There's no technical fix to this divide. We will continue to slug it out.
  • After a slightly rocky start, the progressive forces in the city got themselves together and worked their butts off for Avalos. Skills were acquired and alliances forged that will serve the city well for years to come!
Enough for now.

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

How political campaigns matter

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It's almost gospel among political scientists that national political campaigns matter far less than the media and their participants believe. Voters' sentiments are grounded in perceptions of their immediate economic conditions; their longstanding political allegiances to one party or another are largely unvarying despite all the sound bites, ads, and hoopla. You can pretty much count on people to vote as they have in the past, only shaken in their inclinations if they think something is going very wrong. Here's Jonathan Bernstein with a measured discussion of how presidential campaigns do and do not make a difference.

Since I'm by vocation a campaigner who organizes in political contests, I'm supposed to be skeptical of the assertion that campaigns don't matter, but I'm not. I see lots of activity that I think is just waste. Much direct mail, many phone banks, and all emails and robocalls fall in that category. This stuff mostly just makes money for the purveyors. You don't have to take my word for it; the research has been done.

On the other hand, I'm certain that good campaigns -- particularly at the local and state levels -- unleash energy and creativity for citizenship, build networks of people that can endure past the momentary effort, and sometimes even elect better people than we'd get if we just sat back and ignored the fray.

All this is just introduction to some contrarian views I wanted to share here while I'm out today doing Get Out The Vote work for John Avalos's campaign for mayor of San Francisco. Gil Troy, an historian of presidential politics, has a nice rundown in the NYT of why campaigns do matter. Some excerpts:

Presidential campaigns are nasty, long and expensive because they should be. Many aspects of campaigns that Americans hate reflect democratic ideals we love. The presidential campaign’s length and fury are proportional to the electorate’s size and the presidency’s importance. A new president should undergo a rigorous, countrywide, marathon job interview. Citizens need time to scrutinize the candidates. ...

…A campaign is the defining democratic exercise for a country founded on the consent of the governed. Since the Jacksonian Democratic revolution against elitism in the 1820s, each revolution democratizing American life further popularized the campaign. Democracy trumped dignity; mass politics required mass appeals that frequently became protracted, vulgar brawls….

Like automotive crash tests, nasty campaigns determine a potential president’s strength and durability. …

Campaign budgets reflect the time candidates require to capture attention across America’s continental expanse. Candidates compete against the din of modern life, not just against each other. Considering that Procter & Gamble spent $8.7 billion in 2008 peddling detergents and razors, spending $4.3 billion for the 2008 campaign appears a reasonable price to pay for democracy.

The whole thing is worth reading.

The pic is John Avalos at this kickoff.

Monday, November 07, 2011

Derrick Bell and the "life of riches"

Law professor and author Derrick Bell died at 80 in early October.

Bell was a controversial guy, probably best known popularly for giving up a tenured professorship at Harvard Law School in protest of the school's failure to hire a black woman on the career track. He often wrote about the law in parables, for example in Faces At The Bottom Of The Well: The Permanence Of Racism. The unusual accessibility of his writing seems to have rendered him a curiosity and often an irritant in legal academia. The swirl of conflicting interpretations he set off has outlived him: I have not linked to his Wikipedia article because the detractors seem to be carrying the day there. Bell's friends need to get into the online encyclopedia and clean up the entry.

I was moved by news of Bell's passing to find a copy of his musings on the significance of it all: Ethical Ambition: Living a Life of Meaning and Worth. This is a gentle book, as much a humble examination of the human fallout from brave acts of integrity as a stern manifesto from a determined prophet of racial and gender equality.

Bell knew that working for justice meant being an outsider -- a perception that runs against the grain for most of us and requires some courage and honesty to hold on to.

Ethical work often involves gleaning in the vineyard of injustice while trying to make things better. It is often difficult, unpopular, and unappreciated, but it can be self-sustaining. Persons working for social reform most often put in long hours and accept much smaller salaries than do those in big business. Their compensation is in the work itself.

He set the kind of standard for himself that can seem self-righteous.

Sometimes I was angry at those in power, but it was not anger or vengeance that motivated my speaking out or taking action. In a sense, it was fear: I was genuinely afraid that my tacit acquiescence to decisions I thought wrong would undermine my willingness to risk criticism, alienation, and serious loss to do what I thought right.

Over a long life, he came to understand how he might appear to others.

The description under my photograph in the class book prepared at the end of the first year [in law school] reflected what my classmates perceived as my lack of concern for the feelings of my classmates. It read: "Derrick Bell. Knows everything and wants everyone to know that he knows everything." I am sad to say that, at the time, I considered it a compliment.

Long experience in trying to make changes taught Bell that, however right we may think we are, and however "sophisticated" our analysis of wrongs and policies has become, we need to be able to re-examine our practices. In particular, he came to wonder whether his work for school desegregation in southern communities really served the educational interests of poor black families who just wanted better education for their kids, not so much or only integration with whites.

Without a willingness to continually critique our own policies, question our own motivations, and admit our own mistakes, it is virtually impossible to maintain programs and practices that are truly ethically related to the real needs of those we wish to serve. As I learned from sad experience, it is all too easy to become so committed to ideals and goals that we fail to notice when our clients' interests and goals no longer coincide with ours. ...

There's a Buddhist saying to the effect that you need a raft to cross a river, but once you've crossed you don't keep the raft with you. Because the struggle to improve conditions for people without money or power is so tough -- like crossing a very swift-running river -- those making the effort burden themselves by equating commitment with a rigid adherence to policy positions that may have worked at one point, but because of changed conditions are now no longer effective. Reform organizations and their leaders become identified with pursuing change through a particular set of tactics. We reason that we are in the right, that the forces we oppose are in the wrong, and any deviation from policies adhered to over many years will be seen as lack of commitment, or a concession that we were wrong all the time. …

I am much drawn to this way of thinking (though I have inadequate knowledge of the particulars to know whether I agree with Bell's critique of his own work.) Progressives strive so hard to understand what is wrong in society and to formulate tactics to try to remedy it that we can get fixated on acting in ways that were useful in particular situations but become just more impediments when circumstances change. We fail to swing our attention to pressing new emergencies. We've been seeing that over the last three years of Recession and revealed economic inequality: after years of fighting battles for equity in the realms of race, gender and sexual orientation, it took new folks in the Occupy movement to give us a notion how to frame for the 99 percent of who need more economic justice. Thank goodness for the creativity of the people running ahead of the honest limitations of their "leaders."

Bell was not a man who thought there were easy answers -- but he couldn't live any way except "ethically" by his own lights.

The predictable outcome of efforts for human justice across history has been built on courageous manifestations of faith far more than preachments or promises. It has required a commitment to a cause and an engagement in that commitment quite like that so many black people in America have been doing since slavery: making something out of nothing. Like the dispossessed in all times, these individuals carved out a humanity for themselves with absolutely nothing to help -- save imagination, will, and unbelievable strength and courage. …This is a philosophy of life that is easier to praise than to emulate. It is an outlook perhaps only available to those with the always hard to accept perception that life is a gift that can be revoked at any time and that, at some point, will come to an end. And at that end, we know our, work will not be completed. Perfection will have evaded us as it has for all who came before us. If there is satisfaction, it must come from our striving toward that vision of a better world. …

Keep in mind, activism does not equal martyrdom. Some activists have certainly been martyrs to their causes, and we appropriately give them our attention. They merit our respect. They are, in most times, the exception, not the rule. It thus bears repeating: an ethical life is not a life of sacrifice. It is, in fact, a life of riches. The riches may not always, or even often, be material, but the satisfaction of choosing ethically enriches the fabric of our daily lives in ways we might otherwise have thought impossible.

Sunday, November 06, 2011

Getting out the vote for John Avalos

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The weekend before an election a candidate's supporters leap into a frenzy of bustling activity.

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We share tips on talking with prospective voters.

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We listen to last minute instructions before setting out to knock on doors.

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We learn how to read and mark the voter lists. It is never too early to experience of civic engagement.

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Bishop Gene Robinson grapples with the 99 percent movement


One of my favorite people tries to figure out what the Occupy phenomenon is all about.

The pervasive theme is the poor crying out for regress of injustice! … People are shocked and saying so about how off track we have become. …

[Religious people] have to be careful not to try to coopt this movement. When you see a parade it's easy to try to get out in front of it. We have to be humble.

… Are we going to live in a world where the common good is a value we hold? … We have to figure out what is wrong with the system that is causing people to be drowning. … We need to take a good long and hard look at the way we set up our society …

Worth watching all of it.

Via The Lead.

Friday, November 04, 2011

These things happen to rogue nations

The Supreme Court of Canada recently refused to overturn a lower court decision to deny extradition of an Al-Qaeda suspect who is an Canadian citizen to the U.S. It's not that the Canadians don't think the guy may have done something criminal; it's that they affirm that if they send him, they would be rewarding torture.

The high court has dismissed the federal government’s leave-to-appeal application in the case of [Abdullah] Khadr, the older brother of Omar Khadr, the last western detainee to be held at Guantanamo Bay

… Last year, the Ontario Superior Court decided there were sufficient grounds to send Khadr to the U.S. based on self-incriminating statements he’d given to the RCMP. However, the court ruled the U.S. had violated fundamental justice with its involvement in Khadr’s “shocking” mistreatment during 14 months of detention in Pakistan, a decision that was upheld by the Ontario Court of Appeal.

…Abdullah, who told CBC television before being detained in Islamabad in 2004 that every Muslim dreams of being a martyr for Islam, was accused by Washington of supplying missiles to Al Qaeda in Pakistan and conspiring to murder Americans abroad. The U.S. paid $500,000 to Pakistani intelligence to abduct him in Pakistan in October 2004. For 14 months, he was held secretly in that country, where he alleges he was tortured. … American agents also interrogated him in Pakistani detention and got him to admit he had procured weapons for Al Qaeda.

… Extraditing him would only serve to reward the Americans’ “gross misconduct,” [Ontario Superior Court Justice Christopher] Speyer ruled.

Toronto Star, 11/3/11

One small blow for the rule of law from north of the border.

Keynes on population pressures

Last week I reflected a bit here on the 7 billion human milestone and the place of several understandings of population increase in our attempts to create and sustain livable societies. Bluntly, our numbers and consumption are the problem -- and, if we don't hit the wall first, we have to invent the solution. Or so I believe.

In my ongoing reading about World War I, the epochal cataclysm that opened the last century and whose residue still leaches into this one, I decided to check out John Maynard Keynes' Economic Consequences of the Peace. The economist now remembered (or forgotten) for his understanding of how unregulated capitalism drove economies off a cliff in Great Depression of the 1930s was a whiz kid economic advisor to the British delegation to the Paris Peace Conference in 1919. He was sure his political bosses were making a mess of things and quickly returned home to write this small volume, much of which has held up rather well.

One aspect of his argument that caught my attention was centrality of demographic concerns -- how many people were jostling each other in competition for resources -- to the way he understood societies.

He views pre-World War I Europe as an anomaly in human history because population growth had supported rising wealth rather than leading to catastrophe.

Before 1870 different parts of the small continent of Europe had specialized in their own products; but, taken as a whole, it was substantially self-subsistent. And its population was adjusted to this state of affairs.

After 1870 there was developed on a large scale an unprecedented situation, and the economic condition of Europe became during the next fifty years unstable and peculiar. The pressure of population on food, which had already been balanced by the accessibility of supplies from America, became for the first time in recorded history definitely reversed. As numbers increased, food was actually easier to secure. … In this economic Eldorado, in this economic Utopia, as the earlier economists would have deemed it, most of us were brought up. … [A comfortable Briton] regarded this state of affairs as normal, certain, and permanent, except in the direction of further improvement, and any deviation from it as aberrant, scandalous, and avoidable.

In its essence, Keyne's post-Paris screed argues that the job of the victorious statesmen was to try to restore this happy prosperity to the world's shattered economies. Instead they had preoccupied themselves with retribution, boundary disputes and obscure nationalisms. They didn't understand that a world where people couldn't trust where their next meal was coming from would be unstable and potentially disastrous.

Along the way, Keynes offered some relatively light-weight but interesting observations on Russia where, most visibly, the 1914-18 war had overturned what had seemed unshakable verities. He thought expanding human numbers explained a lot of the inexplicable.

… the extraordinary occurrences of the past two years in Russia, that vast upheaval of Society, which has overturned what seemed most stable -- religion, the basis of property, the ownership of land, as well as forms of government and the hierarchy of classes -- may owe more to the deep influences of expanding numbers than to Lenin or to Nicholas; and the disruptive powers of excessive national fecundity may have played a greater part in bursting the bonds of convention than either the power of ideas or the errors of autocracy.

He doesn't fully develop this suggestion -- I'm not at all sure it could be developed fruitfully. But it is a significant marker of how one very smart guy thought about human numbers.

The image of Keynes is from a portrait by Duncan Grant, who, along with Keynes, was part of the Bloomsbury circle.


World War I still matters far more than we realize when we think about the contours of the contemporary scene. Previous posts on this history appear here, here and here.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Prescient

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Marching on the banks in downtown Oakland, Calif., November 2, 2011.

I've written before about encountering the thought and influence of the eminent British philosopher, mathematician and war resister Bertrand Russell. John Reynolds at Jadaliyya passes along a snippet from Russell's writing of the late 1920s that is almost too apt for today:

“It is evident that, in a world where there was leisure and economic security for all, the happiness of all would be greater than that of ninety-nine per cent of the present inhabitants of the planet.

“Why, then, do the ninety-nine per cent not combine to overcome the resistance of the privileged one per cent?”

Reynolds goes on to share Russell's forceful diagnosis, written at the age of 97 in 1970, of the intransigent pattern of aggression by which the Israeli state was annexing Palestinian land. Not much has changed.

Wednesday, November 02, 2011

Warming Wednesdays: Occupy Earth



In honor of the General Strike called by Occupy Oakland (proceeding vigorously as I write) here's a teaser from an article by Chip Ward.

At some point, we'll discover that you can't exist for long beyond the boundaries of the natural world, that (as with every other species) if you overload the carrying capacity of your habitat, you crash. Warming temperatures, chaotic weather patterns, extreme storms, monster wildfires, epic droughts, Biblical floods, an avalanche of species extinction ... that collapse is upon us now. In the human realm, it translates into hunger and violence, mass migrations and civil strife, failed states and resource wars.
Like so much else these days, the crash, as it happens, will not be suffered in equal measure by all of us. The 1%-ers will be atop the hill, while the 99% will be in the flood lands below swimming for their lives, clinging to debris, or drowning. The Great Recession has previewed just how that will work.

An unsustainable economy is inherently unfair, and worse is to come. After all, the car is heading for the cliff's edge, the grandkids are in the backseat, and all we're arguing about is who can best put the pedal to the metal.

Give credit where it's due: It's been the genius of the protesters in Zuccotti Park to shift public discourse to whether the distribution of economic burdens and rewards is just and whether the economic system makes us whole or reduces and divides us. It's hard to imagine how we'll address our converging ecological crises without first addressing the way accumulating wealth and power has captured the political system. As long as Washington is dominated and intimidated by giant oil companies, Wall Street speculators, and corporations that can buy influence and even write the rules that make buying influence possible, there's no meaningful way to deal with our economy's addiction to fossil fuels and its dire consequences.

Read it all at Grist.

Photo shows student at City College of San Francisco noontime rally in support of Occupy Oakland.

Despite every other legitimate concern, we cannot ignore that our economic and social system is rapidly making the planet less habitable. So I will be posting "Warming Wednesdays" -- reminders of that inconvenient truth.

Blogging has been interrupted


Picture says it all. Lost my blogging time to computer hiccups and a back up system gone wonky. Regular blogging will resume when I get this all sorted out.

Tuesday, November 01, 2011

Collateral damage of empire

We forget that other nations have troops in Afghanistan alongside the large U.S. fighting force. On Saturday, the few of us who are paying attention saw the news that a suicide bomber in supposedly secure Kabul had blasted a bus, killing 13 U.S. personnel, along with Afghans and others.


Left to right: Captain Bryce Duffy, Lance Corporal Luke Gavin and Corporal Ashley Brit. AAP (composite image)

Australians are paying attention this week because they just lost the three soldiers pictured here, raising that tough nation's toll in Afghanistan to 32. They have sent the largest non-NATO contingent, about 1500 troops. The numbers doesn't seem like many next to the U.S. troops killed -- as of Oct. 29 that's 1754. But these Australian deaths were of the sort bring the whole enterprise into question for home populations. The attack:

Three Australian soldiers and an Afghan interpreter were killed and seven other soldiers were wounded when a man wearing an Afghan army uniform opened fire during a parade at a patrol base in Afghanistan, officials said Sunday.

The gunman in Saturday's attack was shot dead by Australian soldiers at the base in southern Kandahar province …

Afghan soldiers at the base were disarmed and confined to their barracks as a precaution as officials investigated the shooting.

AP

Yes, this was another one of those attacks which showed the foreign troops, again, that they cannot tell friend from foe in this ever-so-foreign land.

Australian commentators are wondering, as we do here so frequently, just what good it does to send their men to die in Afghanistan. Published under the headline "Expert Reactions" here's a little of their conversation:

With every death and casualty suffered by our troops, public opinion turns slightly away from the commitment to Afghanistan. President Barack Obama has experienced this, and the Australian government is experiencing it now. The pressure is on to expedite our exit strategy.

… It is easy to say, lets wash our hands off Afghanistan and let them sort out their own mess. The problem is that, ‘their own mess’ is partly due to our involvement and is more than likely to get worse – posing serious risk factors for our interests.
Shahram Akbarzadeh, Professor of Asian Politics (Middle East & Central Asia), University of Melbourne

***

We are told that the perpetrator of this multiple killing was a rogue or renegade assailant, but that is what we are always told when unpredicted murderous attacks occur. We were told that the men who assassinated the Kennedys in the 1960s, Yitzhak Rabin in 1995, and the thirteen US soldiers at Fort Hood, Texas in November 2009 were all rogue elements. But there is invariably more to the story than the actions of a ‘lone crazed gunman.’

In this case, there are precedents and parallels. The Soviet Union when they invaded Afghanistan in December 1979 faced the same experience facing the IFAF. Their mistake, as is the case now, was to broaden their clear and limited objective in the pursuit of unattainable goals.

The Soviet Union sought to ‘Sovietise’ Afghan society, and now the US-led International Force, having invaded Afghanistan to remove Osama Bin Laden and the Taliban, is attempting to ‘democratise’ the country. The Soviet Union did not intend to stay long, but left, defeated, after nine years. US coalition forces have been in Afghanistan eleven years, and although Bin Laden has been killed, the Taliban remain. The way things are going, it is difficult to see how ISAF can claim victory in Afghanistan and depart leaving what they regard as a satisfactory political situation in what is essentially an unwinnable war.
Ian J. Bickerton, Honourary Associate Professor, School of History and Philosophy, University of New South Wales

It's extremely difficult for big powerful empires to cut their losses. Human beings and human societies find themselves chewed up in their wake.